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OP-00452 Open

Does every strict initial majority win zero-temperature Ising dynamics?

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Fix an integer $d \ge 2$ and $p \in (1/2, 1]$. At time $0$ the spins $\sigma_0(x)$, $x \in \mathbb{Z}^d$, are independent, equal to $+1$ with probability $p$ and to $-1$ otherwise. Each site carries an independent rate-one Poisson clock; when the clock at $x$ rings, $\sigma(x)$ is set to the strict majority value among its $2d$ nearest neighbours, and to the value of an independent fair coin in case of a tie. This is zero-temperature Glauber dynamics for the Ising model on $\mathbb{Z}^d$.

Morris calls the assertion that the critical density for fixation at $+1$ is $1/2$ in every dimension $d \ge 2$ a folklore conjecture. By symmetry and ergodicity, fixation at $+1$ has probability $0$ when $p = 1/2$, and Nanda, Newman and Stein proved that for $p = 1/2$ on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ almost surely every site changes state infinitely often. Fontes, Schonmann and Sidoravicius proved that for every $d \ge 2$ there is $\varepsilon(d) > 0$ such that the system fixates at $+1$ almost surely when $p \ge 1 - \varepsilon(d)$. Morris proved that the infimum of the densities $p$ for which it fixates at $+1$ almost surely tends to $1/2$ as $d \to \infty$.

Problem. Is it true, for every such $d$ and $p$, that almost surely every site $x \in \mathbb{Z}^d$ has a finite random time $T_x$ with $\sigma_t(x) = +1$ for all $t \ge T_x$? No fixation time uniform over the lattice is required.

Source: Folklore, as the conjecture that the critical density for fixation is 1/2 in every dimension d ≥ 2; stated as Conjecture 1 by Morris (2011). Stated for every p ∈ (1/2, 1] by AIM — Open Applied Problems.

Imported from github.com/MColbrook/AIM.

Classification

Primary
PR — Probability
Secondary
MP
Keywords
AIM Open Applied Problems, coarsening, Glauber dynamics, Ising models

References

@article{morris2011,
  author        = {Morris, Robert},
  title         = {Zero-temperature {G}lauber dynamics on {$\mathbb{Z}^d$}},
  journal       = {Probab. Theory Related Fields},
  volume        = {149},
  number        = {3-4},
  year          = {2011},
  pages         = {417--434},
  doi           = {10.1007/s00440-009-0259-x},
  eprint        = {0809.0353},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
}
@article{fontes2002,
  author  = {Fontes, L. R. and Schonmann, R. H. and Sidoravicius, V.},
  title   = {Stretched exponential fixation in stochastic {I}sing models at zero temperature},
  journal = {Comm. Math. Phys.},
  volume  = {228},
  number  = {3},
  year    = {2002},
  pages   = {495--518},
  doi     = {10.1007/s002200200658},
}
@incollection{nanda2000,
  author    = {Nanda, S. and Newman, C. M. and Stein, D. L.},
  title     = {Dynamics of {I}sing spin systems at zero temperature},
  booktitle = {On Dobrushin's Way. From Probability Theory to Statistical Physics},
  series    = {Amer. Math. Soc. Transl. Ser. 2},
  volume    = {198},
  publisher = {American Mathematical Society},
  address   = {Providence, RI},
  year      = {2000},
  pages     = {183--194},
  doi       = {10.1090/trans2/198/13},
}
@misc{aim-majority-ising-fixation,
  author       = {Brunton, Steve and Colbrook, Matthew J. and de Hoop, Maarten V. and Stepaniants, George and Townsend, Alex and Ward, Rachel},
  title        = {{Does every strict initial majority win zero-temperature Ising dynamics?}},
  howpublished = {AIM --- Open Applied Problems, GitHub repository},
  year         = {2026},
  url          = {https://github.com/MColbrook/AIM/blob/a153f469ee0ea64e876b2ad97c79d252c19a3e22/problems/289-majority-ising-fixation.md},
  note         = {Entry 289 at commit a153f46, 2026-10-13},
}

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OP-00452, "Does every strict initial majority win zero-temperature Ising dynamics?", clopen.solutions.