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OP-01114 Open

Does Cameron–Martin coercivity ensure a strong posterior mode?

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Let $X$ be a real separable Banach space, $\mu_0$ a centred nondegenerate Gaussian Borel probability measure on $X$ with Cameron–Martin space $(E, \|\cdot\|_E)$, and $\Phi : X \to \mathbb{R}$ continuous with $$0 < Z := \int_X e^{-\Phi(x)}\, \mu_0(dx) < \infty, \qquad \mu(dx) := Z^{-1} e^{-\Phi(x)}\, \mu_0(dx).$$ For $h \in E$ let $I(h) := \Phi(h) + \tfrac12 \|h\|_E^2$ be the posterior Onsager–Machlup functional. With closed balls $B_r(x)$ in the norm of $X$ and $M_r := \sup_{x \in X} \mu(B_r(x))$, a strong mode of $\mu$ is a point $x_* \in X$ with $$\lim_{r \downarrow 0} \frac{\mu(B_r(x_*))}{M_r} = 1.$$ Lambley proved that $\mu$ has a strong mode if for every $\eta > 0$ there is $K(\eta) \in \mathbb{R}$ with $\Phi(x) \ge K(\eta) - \eta \|x\|_X^2$ for all $x \in X$, and that the coercivity condition below gives a weak mode. Klebanov, Lambley and Sullivan constructed continuous potentials on $\ell^2$ with a weak mode but no strong mode; their Onsager–Machlup functionals fail this coercivity condition.

Problem. Suppose there are constants $A \in \mathbb{R}$ and $c > 0$ such that $A + I(h) \ge c \|h\|_E^2$ for every $h \in E$. Must $\mu$ have a strong mode?

Source: Lambley (2023), §4.1, the question immediately before Proposition 4.1.

Imported from github.com/MColbrook/AIM.

Classification

Primary
PR — Probability
Secondary
ST
Keywords
AIM Open Applied Problems, Gaussian measures, maximum a posteriori estimators, small-ball modes
Literature checked
Nov. 5, 2026 by clemens-admin

References

@article{lambley2023,
  author        = {Lambley, Hefin},
  title         = {Strong maximum a posteriori estimation in {B}anach spaces with {G}aussian priors},
  journal       = {Inverse Problems},
  volume        = {39},
  number        = {12},
  year          = {2023},
  pages         = {125010},
  doi           = {10.1088/1361-6420/ad07a4},
  eprint        = {2304.13622},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
}
@misc{klebanov2025,
  author        = {Klebanov, Ilja and Lambley, Hefin and Sullivan, T. J.},
  title         = {Classification of small-ball modes and maximum a posteriori estimators in metric spaces},
  year          = {2025},
  eprint        = {2306.16278},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  note          = {Version 4, 14 August 2025},
}
@misc{aim-does-cameronmartin-coercivity-ensure-a-strong-posterior-mode,
  author       = {Brunton, Steve and Colbrook, Matthew J. and de Hoop, Maarten V. and Stepaniants, George and Townsend, Alex and Ward, Rachel},
  title        = {{Does Cameron–Martin coercivity ensure a strong posterior mode?}},
  howpublished = {AIM --- Open Applied Problems, GitHub repository},
  year         = {2026},
  url          = {https://github.com/MColbrook/AIM/blob/4f5b1659355cb61d194da94ef14615214e1363a8/problems/667-does-cameronmartin-coercivity-ensure-a-strong-posterior-mode.md},
  note         = {Entry 667 at commit 4f5b165, 2026-11-04},
}

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OP-01114, "Does Cameron–Martin coercivity ensure a strong posterior mode?", clopen.solutions.