clopen.solutions
OP-01141 Partially resolved

The number of traces needed for trace reconstruction

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A trace of a string $x \in \{0, 1\}^n$ is the string left after each bit is deleted independently with probability $\frac12$; the positions deleted are not reported. Let $m(n)$ be the least $m$ such that some procedure recovers $x$ from $m$ independent traces with probability at least $0.9$, for every $x \in \{0, 1\}^n$. Nazarov and Peres, and independently De, O'Donnell and Servedio, proved $m(n) \le \exp(C n^{1/3})$, and Chase improved this to $m(n) \le \exp(n^{1/5} (\log n)^{C})$. In the other direction Chase, after Holden and Lyons, proved $m(n) \ge n^{3/2} (\log n)^{-16}$.

Problem. What is the growth rate of $m(n)$?

Source: V. I. Levenshtein, Efficient reconstruction of sequences (2001), for the setting; Green heard the problem from Y. Peres. Listed as Problem 92 in B. Green, 100 open problems (version of January 2026).

Imported from people.maths.ox.ac.uk/greenbj/papers/open-problems.pdf.

Classification

Primary
CO — Combinatorics
Secondary
PR
Keywords
deletion channel, sample complexity, trace reconstruction
Literature checked
Nov. 3, 2026 by clemens-admin

References

@article{levenshtein2001reconstruction,
  author = {Levenshtein, Vladimir I.},
  title = {Efficient reconstruction of sequences},
  journal = {IEEE Transactions on Information Theory},
  volume = {47},
  number = {1},
  pages = {2--22},
  year = {2001},
  doi = {10.1109/18.904499}
}

@inproceedings{nazarovperes2017trace,
  author = {Nazarov, Fedor and Peres, Yuval},
  title = {Trace reconstruction with $\exp(O(n^{1/3}))$ samples},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the 49th Annual ACM SIGACT Symposium on Theory of Computing},
  pages = {1042--1046},
  year = {2017},
  doi = {10.1145/3055399.3055494}
}

@inproceedings{deodonnellservedio2017trace,
  author = {De, Anindya and O'Donnell, Ryan and Servedio, Rocco A.},
  title = {Optimal mean-based algorithms for trace reconstruction},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the 49th Annual ACM SIGACT Symposium on Theory of Computing},
  pages = {1047--1056},
  year = {2017},
  doi = {10.1145/3055399.3055450}
}

@article{holdenlyons2020lower,
  author = {Holden, Nina and Lyons, Russell},
  title = {Lower bounds for trace reconstruction},
  journal = {Annals of Applied Probability},
  volume = {30},
  number = {2},
  pages = {503--525},
  year = {2020},
  doi = {10.1214/19-AAP1506}
}

@article{chase2021lower,
  author = {Chase, Zachary},
  title = {New lower bounds for trace reconstruction},
  journal = {Annales de l'Institut Henri Poincar{\'e}, Probabilit{\'e}s et Statistiques},
  volume = {57},
  pages = {627--643},
  year = {2021},
  doi = {10.1214/20-AIHP1089}
}

@inproceedings{chase2021separating,
  author = {Chase, Zachary},
  title = {Separating words and trace reconstruction},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the 53rd Annual ACM SIGACT Symposium on Theory of Computing},
  pages = {21--31},
  year = {2021},
  doi = {10.1145/3406325.3451118}
}

@misc{bvw2026quasipolynomial,
  author = {Burudgunte, Arnav and Valiant, Paul and Wang, Hongao},
  title = {Quasipolynomial Trace Reconstruction},
  year = {2026},
  eprint = {2607.04073},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv}
}

@misc{openai2026tracelower,
  author = {{OpenAI}},
  title = {Quantitative lower bounds for trace reconstruction},
  howpublished = {\url{https://github.com/openai/math/blob/4eaee87548250b2682affda7d05d947c05554bae/preprints/quantitative-lower-bounds-for-trace-reconstruction-September-24-2026/paper.pdf}},
  note = {AI-generated, unrefereed; dated 24 September 2026},
  year = {2026}
}

@misc{openai2026traceupper,
  author = {{OpenAI}},
  title = {A latest-anchor induction with spectrally compact masks for worst-case trace reconstruction},
  howpublished = {\url{https://github.com/openai/math/blob/4eaee87548250b2682affda7d05d947c05554bae/preprints/A-latest-anchor-induction-with-spectrally-compact-masks-for-worst-case-trace-reconstruction-October-5-2026/paper.pdf}},
  note = {AI-generated, unrefereed; dated 5 October 2026},
  year = {2026}
}

@misc{green100open,
  author = {Green, Ben},
  title = {100 open problems},
  howpublished = {\url{https://people.maths.ox.ac.uk/greenbj/papers/open-problems.pdf}},
  note = {Problem 92; version of January 2026, most recent update December 2025},
  year = {2026}
}

Resolution claims

no authors listed

Partial: for each fixed retention probability, log m(n) = O((log n)^3 (1 + log log 2n)^6), so quasipolynomially many traces suffice; success probability 2/3 is amplified to 0.9 by repetition..

Partial resolution · not verified · fidelity not established · posted on GitHub 6 Oct 2026
OpenAI

Exact worst-case reconstruction of a binary word from independent deletion traces requires $n^{\Omega(\log\log n)}$ samples for every fixed deletion probability $q\in(0,1)$, even with unrestricted computation and any fixed positive success probability. This gives a negative answer to the polynomial-sample question for binary trace reconstruction. More generally, when $q^3\log n\to\infty$, we prove a lower bound of $n^{c\log(q^3\log n)}$ samples for every …

Partial resolution · not verified · fidelity not established · posted on GitHub 6 Oct 2026

Status history

WhenChangeByReason
2026-11-08 Open → Partially resolved The registry's curators A latest-anchor induction with spectrally compact masks for worst-case trace reconstruction v1 recorded from math @ 4eaee87, build/main.tex.

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OP-01141, "The number of traces needed for trace reconstruction", clopen.solutions.